Ukraine War Watch: The Institute for the Study of War says Putin’s latest deadline to seize all of Donetsk by Dec. 31, 2026 is unrealistic, projecting Russia would not take the remaining area until 2032. Security & Espionage: Ukraine’s Security Service detained a mobilized serviceman in Mykolaiv for coordinating Russian missile and drone strikes remotely with an FSB handler. Pacific Diplomacy: Pacific leaders pressed Indonesia to allow a long-awaited UN human rights visit to West Papua, warning MSG associate status could be reviewed if access isn’t granted by 2027. Climate Disasters: Sri Lanka’s UN talks focused on resettling cyclone Ditwah displaced people and preparing for El Niño-linked risks. Hurricane Lowell: Hawaii issued warnings and closed schools and offices on Kauai and Niihau as Lowell neared as a Category 2–3 storm. Regional Health: A new ASEAN Care Readiness Index finds high confidence in care readiness, but 98% of leaders see major future pressures, especially from digital health and AI gaps. Aviation & Economy: Portugal will hold another round of talks with Lufthansa and Air France-KLM over a minority stake sale in TAP.